5.5.1Population Genetics & Speciation

State the Hardy-Weinberg principle and assumptions

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WHAT is it?

WHY do we care? Because it is a null hypothesis. If real genotype numbers match Hardy-Weinberg predictions → the gene is probably not evolving. If they don't match → some force (selection, drift, migration, etc.) is at work, and that deviation is what tells us evolution is happening.


HOW do we derive it from first principles?

Don't memorise p2+2pq+q2p^2 + 2pq + q^2. Build it.

Step 1 — Define the gene pool. Imagine all the gametes (eggs + sperm) of the whole population dumped into one bucket. A fraction pp carry allele AA; a fraction qq carry allele aa. Why this step? Random mating means offspring are formed by drawing two gametes at random from this bucket — so genotype frequencies become a probability problem.

Step 2 — Draw two gametes independently. Probability the offspring is:

  • AAAA = P(first is AA) × P(second is AA) = p×p=p2p \times p = p^2
  • aaaa = q×q=q2q \times q = q^2
  • AaAa = AA then aa, or aa then AA = pq+qp=2pqpq + qp = 2pq

Why the factor of 2? Because heterozygotes can form two ways — you can get AA from mum & aa from dad, or the reverse. Miss this and your frequencies won't add to 1.

Step 3 — Check they sum to 1. p2+2pq+q2=(p+q)2=(1)2=1p^2 + 2pq + q^2 = (p+q)^2 = (1)^2 = 1 \checkmark Why this step? It's the algebraic guarantee we've covered every possible offspring — nothing is missing.

Step 4 — Show it's stable (the actual "equilibrium"). Compute the allele frequency of AA in the offspring generation. Every AAAA contributes 2 copies of AA; every AaAa contributes 1: p=2p2+2pq2=p2+pq=p(p+q)=p(1)=pp' = \frac{2p^2 + 2pq}{2} = p^2 + pq = p(p+q) = p(1) = p So p=pp' = p. The allele frequency did not change. That constancy — generation after generation — is Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.

Figure — State the Hardy-Weinberg principle and assumptions

The 5 Assumptions (the "no-force" conditions)

Equilibrium only holds if all five are true. Each failed assumption is the definition of an evolutionary force.

Assumption If violated →
No mutation (AaA \leftrightarrow a doesn't happen) new alleles / changed p,qp,q
No gene flow (migration) — no alleles in/out frequencies shift toward migrants
Very large population (ideally infinite) random drift changes p,qp,q by chance
Random mating (no mate preference) genotype ratios distort (e.g. inbreeding ↑ homozygotes)
No natural selection — all genotypes survive & reproduce equally favoured alleles rise

Worked Examples


Common Mistakes


Recall Feynman: explain it to a 12-year-old

Imagine a giant jar of red and blue marbles (red = allele AA, blue = allele aa). To make a baby, you close your eyes and grab two marbles at random. If nobody adds, removes, repaints, or cheats by picking favourites, then the fraction of red vs blue marbles in the jar stays the same forever. And you can predict exactly how many babies get two reds, two blues, or one of each — just by multiplying the chances. That "nothing changes" jar is Hardy-Weinberg. When the real jar does change, you know someone's been messing with the marbles — that "messing" is evolution.


Active Recall Flashcards

State the Hardy-Weinberg equation for genotype frequencies.
p2+2pq+q2=1p^2 + 2pq + q^2 = 1, with p+q=1p+q=1.
What does 2pq2pq represent and why the factor of 2?
Frequency of heterozygotes (AaAa); the 2 is because AaAa can form two ways (AA+aa or aa+AA).
List the 5 assumptions of Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium.
No mutation, no gene flow/migration, very large (infinite) population, random mating, no natural selection.
If 16% of a population is aaaa, what is qq?
q=0.16=0.4q=\sqrt{0.16}=0.4.
Under HW, what happens to allele frequencies across generations?
They stay constant (p=pp'=p, q=qq'=q).
Why is Hardy-Weinberg called a "null hypothesis"?
It predicts frequencies with NO evolution; deviations from it reveal that an evolutionary force is acting.
Does dominance make an allele more frequent under HW?
No — dominance affects phenotype masking, not allele frequency.
How do you calculate allele frequency pp from genotype counts?
p=2(AA)+(Aa)2×total individualsp=\frac{2(AA)+(Aa)}{2\times \text{total individuals}}.
Which violated assumption corresponds to genetic drift?
Small population size (finite population).
Show that p2+2pq+q2p^2+2pq+q^2 sums to 1.
It equals (p+q)2=12=1(p+q)^2=1^2=1.

Connections

  • Allele and Genotype Frequencies
  • Natural Selection — violates the "no selection" assumption
  • Genetic Drift — violates "large population"
  • Gene Flow and Migration — violates "no gene flow"
  • Mutation as Source of Variation — violates "no mutation"
  • Non-random Mating and Inbreeding — distorts genotype ratios
  • Speciation — happens when populations diverge away from shared HW equilibrium
  • Punnett Square — the single-cross version of the same gamete-drawing logic

Concept Map

allele freqs p and q

draw 2 gametes independently

p x p

two ways so x2

q x q

sum

sum

sum

equals p+q squared

defines

required for

used as

deviation reveals

Gene pool bucket

Random mating

Genotype probabilities

AA = p squared

Aa = 2pq

aa = q squared

p squared + 2pq + q squared = 1

Allele freq p' = p unchanged

Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium

Five no-force assumptions

Null hypothesis for evolution

Evolutionary force acting

Hinglish (regional understanding)

Intuition Hinglish mein samjho

Dekho, Hardy-Weinberg principle basically ek "kuch nahi badal raha" wali situation hai. Socho ek badi population hai jahan mating random hai, koi mutation nahi, koi bahar se aa-ja nahi raha (migration), aur koi allele dusre pe selection ka pressure nahi daal raha. Aisi ideal condition mein allele frequencies (pp aur qq) generation se generation same rehti hain — bilkul constant. Isko yaad rakho jaise physics ka "no force, no acceleration" rule.

Formula simple hai: p+q=1p+q=1 aur p2+2pq+q2=1p^2 + 2pq + q^2 = 1. Yahan p2p^2 matlab AAAA (homozygous dominant), q2q^2 matlab aaaa (homozygous recessive), aur 2pq2pq matlab AaAa (heterozygous). Yeh formula hum derive karte hain gene pool se — do gametes randomly uthao, probability multiply karo, bas ho gaya. 2pq2pq mein jo "2" hai woh isliye hai kyunki AaAa do tareeke se ban sakta hai (mummy se AA + papa se aa, ya ulta).

Ab iska asli fayda kya hai? Yeh ek null hypothesis hai. Agar real population ke genotype numbers is formula se match karte hain, matlab woh gene evolve nahi ho raha. Agar match nahi karte, matlab koi na koi force (selection, drift, migration, mutation, ya non-random mating) kaam kar raha hai — aur wahi deviation humein batata hai ki evolution ho raha hai. Exam tip: agar recessive phenotype ka percentage diya ho, woh q2q^2 hota hai, uska square root lo to qq milega. Aur factor of 2 kabhi mat bhoolna warna sab galat!

Test yourself — Population Genetics & Speciation

Connections