Volume, Fibonacci & Elliott Wave
Chapter: 3.6 Volume, Fibonacci & Elliott Wave Level: 1 — Recognition Time Limit: 20 minutes Total Marks: 30
Section A — Multiple Choice (1 mark each) — 10 marks
Q1. In a healthy uptrend, volume should generally:
- (a) Decrease on up-days and increase on down-days
- (b) Increase on up-days (advances) and decrease on pullbacks
- (c) Stay perfectly constant
- (d) Have no relationship to price at all
Q2. The primary Fibonacci retracement levels used by traders are:
- (a) 10%, 20%, 30%
- (b) 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%
- (c) 15%, 45%, 75%
- (d) 33%, 66%, 99%
Q3. A complete Elliott Wave cycle consists of:
- (a) 3 waves up, 5 waves down
- (b) 5 impulse waves followed by 3 corrective waves
- (c) 8 impulse waves only
- (d) 2 waves total
Q4. "Accumulation" in volume analysis typically refers to:
- (a) Large sellers exiting the market
- (b) Informed buyers building positions, often during sideways/low price action
- (c) A period of zero volume
- (d) Only retail panic selling
Q5. The common Fibonacci extension target beyond 100% is:
- (a) 61.8%
- (b) 88.6%
- (c) 161.8%
- (d) 23.6%
Q6. Which is a core rule (not merely a guideline) of Elliott Wave theory?
- (a) Wave 3 is always the shortest impulse wave
- (b) Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of Wave 1
- (c) Wave 4 always equals Wave 2 in time
- (d) Corrections are always exactly 50%
Q7. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) primarily studies the relationship between:
- (a) Price spread (range), volume, and closing position
- (b) Only the opening price
- (c) Interest rates and volume
- (d) Dividends and price
Q8. A common criticism / limitation of Elliott Wave theory is:
- (a) It is fully objective with only one possible count
- (b) Wave counts are subjective and can be interpreted differently
- (c) It requires no chart at all
- (d) It never uses Fibonacci ratios
Q9. When Fibonacci levels cluster with existing support/resistance zones, the resulting level is considered:
- (a) Weaker and unreliable
- (b) A high-probability confluence zone
- (c) Irrelevant
- (d) Only useful in bear markets
Q10. The two "irrational" numbers most associated with the Fibonacci sequence ratio are approximately:
- (a) 0.618 and 1.618
- (b) 0.500 and 2.000
- (c) 0.750 and 1.250
- (d) 0.333 and 3.000
Section B — Matching (1 mark each) — 6 marks
Q11. Match the term (i–vi) to its correct description (P–U).
| Term | Description |
|---|---|
| (i) Wave 3 | (P) The building of positions by strong hands |
| (ii) Distribution | (Q) Usually the longest and strongest impulse wave |
| (iii) 61.8% | (R) The "golden ratio" retracement level |
| (iv) Accumulation | (S) Smart money selling into strength |
| (v) A-B-C | (T) The three-wave corrective structure |
| (vi) Climax volume | (U) An unusually high volume spike often marking a turning point |
Section C — True/False WITH Justification (2 marks each) — 14 marks
(1 mark correct T/F, 1 mark valid justification)
Q12. Rising price on falling volume confirms a strong, sustainable trend. (True/False + why)
Q13. The 50% retracement level is technically a true Fibonacci ratio derived from the sequence. (True/False + why)
Q14. In Elliott Wave, Wave 4 must not overlap the price territory of Wave 1 in a standard impulse. (True/False + why)
Q15. Fibonacci extensions are used to project profit targets beyond the prior move. (True/False + why)
Q16. High volume on a breakout above resistance increases the reliability of that breakout. (True/False + why)
Q17. Elliott Wave theory guarantees precise future price predictions. (True/False + why)
Q18. Distribution typically occurs after a strong uptrend, near market tops. (True/False + why)
End of Paper
Answer keyMark scheme & solutions
Section A — MCQ (1 mark each)
Q1 — (b). In a healthy uptrend volume expands on advances (buyer commitment) and contracts on pullbacks (lack of selling pressure). (1)
Q2 — (b). 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% are the standard retracement levels (50% is included by convention). (1)
Q3 — (b). A full cycle = 5-wave impulse (motive) + 3-wave correction = 8 waves total. (1)
Q4 — (b). Accumulation = informed/strong-hand buyers quietly building positions, often in ranges. (1)
Q5 — (c). 161.8% is the classic Fibonacci extension target. (1)
Q6 — (b). A hard rule: Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of Wave 1. (a) is false—Wave 3 is never the shortest. (1)
Q7 — (a). VSA examines spread (range), volume, and the close's location within the bar. (1)
Q8 — (b). Subjectivity of wave counts is the classic limitation. (1)
Q9 — (b). Overlapping Fib + S/R = confluence → higher probability. (1)
Q10 — (a). 0.618 and 1.618 (the golden ratio and its inverse). (1)
Section B — Matching (1 mark each)
Q11:
- (i) Wave 3 → Q (longest/strongest impulse)
- (ii) Distribution → S (smart money selling into strength)
- (iii) 61.8% → R (golden ratio retracement)
- (iv) Accumulation → P (building positions by strong hands)
- (v) A-B-C → T (three-wave corrective structure)
- (vi) Climax volume → U (high-volume spike at turning point)
(6 correct = 6 marks; 1 mark each)
Section C — True/False + Justification (2 marks each)
Q12 — FALSE. (1) Rising price on falling volume signals weakening participation/divergence; a sustainable trend needs volume confirmation on advances. (1)
Q13 — FALSE. (1) 50% is not a true Fibonacci ratio (not derived from the sequence); it is included by trading convention (Dow theory). Real ratios include 38.2% and 61.8%. (1)
Q14 — TRUE. (1) In a standard (non-diagonal) impulse, Wave 4 must not enter Wave 1's price territory—overlap breaks the impulse rule. (1)
Q15 — TRUE. (1) Extensions (127.2%, 161.8%, 261.8%) project targets beyond 100% of the prior swing, used for profit-taking. (1)
Q16 — TRUE. (1) High volume shows genuine demand backing the breakout, reducing the chance of a false move. (1)
Q17 — FALSE. (1) EW gives probabilistic scenarios, not guaranteed predictions; counts are subjective and revised as price unfolds. (1)
Q18 — TRUE. (1) Distribution (smart-money selling to late buyers) typically forms near tops after an extended uptrend. (1)
Marks Summary
- Section A: 10
- Section B: 6
- Section C: 14
- Total: 30
[
{"claim": "Golden ratio inverse ≈ 0.618 (Q10/Q2)", "code": "phi = (1 + sqrt(5))/2; val = 1/phi; result = abs(float(val) - 0.618) < 0.001"},
{"claim": "Golden ratio ≈ 1.618 (Q5 extension 161.8%)", "code": "phi = (1 + sqrt(5))/2; result = abs(float(phi) - 1.618) < 0.001"},
{"claim": "Full Elliott cycle = 5 + 3 = 8 waves (Q3)", "code": "result = (5 + 3) == 8"},
{"claim": "0.5 is not equal to Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (Q13 false)", "code": "phi = (1 + sqrt(5))/2; result = Rational(1,2) != Rational(618,1000) and abs(float(1/phi) - 0.5) > 0.1"}
]