4.2.1What to Trade

Choose between stocks, indices, and derivatives

2,648 words12 min readdifficulty · medium

Understanding the three instrument types

Individual stocks

WHY stocks?

  • Direct exposure to company performance
  • Voting rights (usually negligible for retail investors)
  • Potential for outsized gains if you pick winners

HOW they work: You buy through a broker → ownership recorded in demat account → you can sell anytime during market hours at prevailing market price

Capital requirement: Full stock price × quantity. To buy 100 shares at ₹2,500 = ₹2,50,000 (plus brokerage, ST, GST ~0.5% total).

Index funds/ETFs

WHY indices?

  • Diversification: One purchase = exposure to 50+ companies
  • Market returns: You capture broad market movement, not individual company risk
  • Lower volatility: If TCS crashes 10%, NIFTY might drop only 0.5% (TCS is ~4% of NIFTY)

HOW they work (ETF example): NIFTY 50 ETF holds all 50 NIFTY stocks in exact proportion → ETF price tracks NIFTY level × scaling factor → you buy ETF units like buying a stock

Capital requirement: Much lower. NIFTY 50 ETF trades at ~₹200/unit. With₹10,000 you get diversified exposure.

Step 1: Calculate each stock's adjusted market cap Adj. Market Capi=Pricei×Free-float sharesi\text{Adj. Market Cap}_i = \text{Price}_i \times \text{Free-float shares}_i Free-float = shares available for public trading (excludes promoter holdings)

Step 2: Sum all adjusted market caps Total Market Cap=i=150Adj. Market Capi\text{Total Market Cap} = \sum_{i=1}^{50} \text{Adj. Market Cap}_i

Step 3: Apply base period normalization Index Value=Total Market CapBase Market Cap×Base Value\text{Index Value} = \frac{\text{Total Market Cap}}{\text{Base Market Cap}} \times \text{Base Value}

For NIFTY 50: Base date = Nov 3, 1995; Base value = 1000

WHY this formula?

  • Larger companies (higher market cap) have bigger impact on index → reflects economic reality
  • Free-float adjustment prevents distortion from illiquid promoter holdings
  • Base normalization makes current value interpretable (NIFTY at 22,000 = 22× growth since 1995)
Stock Price Outstanding shares Free-float % Free-float shares Adj. Market Cap
A ₹1,000 10 million 40% 4 million ₹4,000 million
B ₹500 20 million 50% 10 million ₹5,000 million
C ₹2,000 5 million 60% 3 million ₹6,000 million

Total Market Cap = ₹15,000 million

If base market cap = ₹10,000million and base value = 1000: Index=15,00010,000×1000=1500\text{Index} = \frac{15,000}{10,000} \times 1000 = 1500

Next day: Stock B rises to ₹550(10% gain)

  • New Adj. Market Cap for B = ₹550 × 10M = ₹5,500M
  • New Total = ₹4,000M + ₹5,500M + ₹6,000M = ₹15,500M
  • New Index = (15,500/10,000) × 1000 = 1550

Why this step? Shows that a10% move in mid-sized stock B causes only 3.3% index move because B is 1/3 of total market cap.

Derivatives

Main types: Futures (obligation to buy/sell) and Options (right but not obligation)

WHY derivatives?

  • Leverage: Control large positions with small capital (margin = 10-20% of contract value)
  • Hedging: Protect existing holdings from downside
  • Speculation: Profit from price movements without owning underlying

HOW they work: You trade contracts, not actual stocks. On expiry, either:

  • Cash settlement: Pay/receive difference between contract price and market price
  • Physical delivery: Rare; actual shares transferred (mostly in stock futures)

Stock approach:

  • Buy NIFTY ETF: ₹200/unit × 500 units = ₹1,000 invested
  • NIFTY rises4.5% → ETF rises to ₹209
  • Profit = (₹209 - ₹200) × 500 = ₹4,500
  • Return = 4.5%

Futures approach:

  • Buy 1 NIFTY futures lot (size = 25units of NIFTY)
  • Contract value = 22,000 × 25 = ₹5,50,000
  • Margin required = ₹60,000 (broker sets this, ~11% of contract value)
  • NIFTY rises to 23,000 → Profit = (23,000 - 22,000) × 25 = ₹25,000
  • Return on margin = ₹25,000 / ₹60,000 = 41.7%

Why this step? Shows leverage effect: Same market move (4.5%) yields 9× higher return in futures because you control₹5.5L with ₹60K.

BUT: If NIFTY drops 4.5% to 21,000:

  • Futures loss = (21,000 - 22,000) × 25 = ₹-25,000
  • You lose41.7% of your margin

Leverage magnifies both gains AND losses.

You own 100 shares of Infosys at ₹1,500 (total = ₹1,50,000). Worried about earnings report next week.

Buy Put Option:

  • Strike price = ₹1,500
  • Premium = ₹30/share
  • Cost = ₹30× 100 = ₹3,000
  • Expiry = 1 week

Scenario 1: Stock crashes to ₹1,300(bad earnings)

  • Stock loss = (₹1,300 - ₹1,500) × 100 = ₹-20,000
  • Option gain = (₹1,500 - ,300) × 100 = ₹20,000 (you can sell at ₹1,500 via option)
  • Net loss = ₹-20,000 + ₹20,000 - ₹3,000 (premium) = ₹-3,000

Why this step? The put option capped your maximum loss at the premium paid. Without it, you'd lose ₹20,000.

Scenario 2: Stock rises to ₹1,600 (good earnings)

  • Stock gain = ₹10,000
  • Option expires worthless (no reason to sell at ₹1,500 when market price is ₹1,600)
  • Net gain = ₹10,000 - ₹3,000 (premium) = ₹7,000

Options are asymetric bets: Limited downside (premium), unlimited upside (for call options).

Comparison framework

| Criterion | Stocks | Indices (ETF) | Derivatives | |--------|---------------|-------------| | Capital needed | High (full price) | Medium (₹5K-₹50K) | Low (margin 10-20%) | | Risk level | High (single company) | Medium (diversified) | Very High (leverage) | | Profit potential | Unlimited | Market returns (~12% CAGR) | Unlimited (but time decay for options) | | Loss potential | 100% (company bankrupt) | Limited (market won't go to zero) | >100% (margin calls) | | Time horizon | Any (days to decades) | Long-term (1+ years) | Short (days to months, expiry-bound) | | Complexity | Simple | Complex (greks, strikes, expiry) | | Ideal for | Stock pickers | Passive investors | Hedgers, speculators |

The Steel-man: Derivatives DO have legitimate uses:

  • Exporters hedge currency risk: A company expecting $1M in 6 months locks USD/INR rate via currency futures to avoid rupee appreciation eating profits
  • Portfolio managers protect downside: During uncertain times, buying index puts is cheaper than selling and re-buying stocks (tax implications, transaction costs)

The fix: Derivatives become gambling when used purely for leveraged speculation without:

  1. Position sizing (risking >5% of capital per trade)
  2. Stop-losses (no exit plan)
  3. Understanding of instrument mechanics (selling naked options without knowing unlimited loss potential)

Used for hedging with defined risk = tool. Used for 50× leverage gambling = casino.

The nuance: Indices eliminate unsystematic risk (company-specific events like fraud, bad management) but fully expose you to systematic risk (market-wide crashes, recessions).

Example: March 2020 COVID crash

  • NIFTY fell 38% in 1 month
  • Your NIFTY ETF portfolio: -38%
  • If you held IT stocks (benefited from work-from-home): Some dropped only 15%, some were flat

The fix: Indices are safer for stock-selection risk but not immune to market risk. For short-term goals (<5 years), even index funds can be risky. For 10+ years, indices converge to positive returns (India: ~11% CAGR historically).

Decision tree for choosing instrument

START: What's your goal?

1. Are you investing for long-term wealth (5+ years)?
   YES → Do you have time to research companies?
         YES → Individual stocks (10-15 stocks across sectors)
         NO → Index funds/ETFs (NIFTY, SENSEX, or sector ETFs)
   NO → Go to2

2. Are you speculating on short-term price moves?
   YES → Do you understand derivatives deeply?
         YES → Futures/Options with strict risk management
         NO → Don't trade derivatives; use stocks or swing trade ETFs
   NO → Go to 3

3. Are you hedging an existing position?
   YES → Use options or futures to protect downside
         (e.g., Put options on stocks you own)
Recall Explain to a 12-year-old

Imagine you want to make money from the stock market, like investing in companies.

Buying stocks is like buying a piece of your favorite company (say, the company that makes your phone). If the company does well, your piece becomes more valuable. But if that ONE company messes up, you lose money. It's risky because you're betting on one company.

Buying an index fund is like buying a tiny piece of the top 50 companies all at once! If one company fails, you still have 49 others. It's like having a cricket team instead of betting on one player. Much safer, but you won't get super-rich quick.

Derivatives are like making a bet on where the price will go WITHOUT buying the actual thing. It's like betting your friend₹100 that your team will win next week. If you're right, you win ₹100 (or more!). If you're wrong, you lose your₹100 (or more!). It's exciting but super risky because the bet has a time limit—if the match is over, the bet is done.

Most people starting out should go with index funds because it's like letting the whole market work for you, not just one company.

Connections

  • 4.1.01-Risk-and-reward-relationship - Risk tolerance determines instrument choice
  • 4.2.02-Lot-sizesand-margin-requirements - Derivatives mechanics details
  • 4.3.01-Market-and-limit-orders - Execution applies to all instruments
  • 5.1.01-Diversification-strategies - Index funds provide instant diversification
  • 6.2.01-Hedging-with-options - Derivative use for risk management

#flashcards/stock-market

What are the three main financial instruments available for trading? :: Stocks (individual equities), Indices (via ETFs/mutual funds), and Derivatives (futures and options)

What are the two sources of return from owning stocks?
Capital appreciation (price increase) and dividends (profit distribution)
How is the NIFTY 50 index value calculated?
Using free-float market capitalization: (Total adjusted market cap / Base market cap) × Base value, where adjusted market cap = Price × Free-float shares
What is the key difference between futures and options?
Futures create obligation to buy/sell at expiry, while options give the right but not obligation (buyer can choose to exercise or let expire)
Why do derivatives offer higher returns than buying stocks directly?
Leverage: You control large contract value with small margin (10-20%), so same price move yields magnified percentage return on your invested capital
What is the main risk that index funds eliminate?
Unsystematic risk (company-specific risk like fraud, management failure, single-product failure)
If NIFTY futures require₹60,000 margin for a₹5,50,000 contract and NIFTY rises 5%, what is your return on margin?
45.8% (Profit = 5% × ₹5,50,000 = ₹27,500; Return =₹27,500/₹60,000 = 45.8%)
What type of instrument is best for long-term investors without time for stock research?
Index funds or ETFs (provide diversification and market returns with minimal research)
What is the purpose of buying a put option on stocks you own?
Hedging: Protects against downside by giving you the right to sell at a fixed price, limiting your maximum loss to the premium paid
What does "free-float market capitalization" mean index calculation?
Market value calculated using only shares available for public trading, excluding promoter/government holdings that aren't traded

Concept Map

choose tool

ownership

basket exposure

contracts

returns via

returns via

needs

bought via

gives

value from

value derived from

tracks

lowers

Trading Goal

Instrument Choice

Individual Stocks

Indices

Derivatives

Capital Appreciation

Dividends

High Capital

ETFs and Index Funds

Diversification

Free-float Market Cap

Underlying Assets

Lower Volatility

Hinglish (regional understanding)

Intuition Hinglish mein samjho

Stock market mein trade karne ke liye teen main chezein hain: individual stocks, indices, aur derivatives. Samajhte hain ki kaun sa kab use karein.

Stocks matlab ap ek company ka chhota hissa khareedte ho—jaise Reliance ya Infosys ka share. Agar company acha karti hai, apka share ka price badhta hai aur ap profit kamāte ho. Lekin agar sirf ek company mein sab paisa lagaya aur woh company fail ho gayi, toh aapka full loss ho sakta hai. Yeh high risk hai, lekin agar sahi company choose ki toh bada profit bhi mil sakta hai. Beginers ke liye thoda mushkil hai kyunki research karna padta hai—kaun si company strong hai, kaun weak.

Index funds (jaise NIFTY 50 ETF) mein aap ek sath top 50 companies ka package khareedte ho. Ek company dobti hai toh bhi baki 49 hain, toh aapka pura paisa dob nahi sakta. Yeh bahut safe hai long-term ke liye—10-15 saal mein India ka market average11-12% per year deta hai. Agar aapko stock picking mein time nahi lagana ya risk nahi lena, toh index funds best hain. Medium capital chahiye (₹5,000-₹50,000) aur tension free investing.

Derivatives (futures aur options) sabse tricky hain. Yeh betting jaise kaam karta hai—ap margin deke bahut bada position control karte ho. Jaise ₹60,000 margin se ap ₹5.5 lakh ka NIFTY futures contract le sakte ho. Agar market apke favor mein gaya toh 40-50% return mil sakta hai ek mahine mein! Lekin ulta hua toh aapka pura margin loss ho sakta hai. Yeh short-term traders aur experienced logon ke liye hai. Agar aapko derivatives ka gyan nahi hai, toh yeh casino ban jata hai—90% retail traders yahan paisa lose karte hain. Options ka use hedging ke liye bhi hota hai—jaise insurance ki tarah apne shares ko protect karna.

Beginers ko advice: Long-term wealth ke liye index funds se shuru karo. Experience ane ke bad individual stocks explore karo. Derivatives mein tabhi ghuso jab full knowledge ho aur strict risk management follow kar sako. Trading sirf paisa kamane ka tarika nahi, samajhdari ka game hai!

Test yourself — What to Trade

Connections