2.6.3Valuation Methods

Understand WACC and discount rate calculation

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Core Concept: What is WACC?

WHY these specific components?

  1. Weights (E/VE/V and D/VD/V): Reflect the actual capital mix. A company that's 70% equity-financed weights equity cost more heavily.

  2. Cost of equity (rer_e): Shareholders take the MOST risk (last to get paid in bankruptcy), so they demand the HIGHEST return. No tax benefit.

  3. Cost of debt (1Tc)rd(1 - T_c) \cdot r_d: Interest is tax-deductible, so the government effectively subsidizes debt. If you pay8% interest but save 25% in taxes, your after-tax cost is 8%×(10.25)=6%8\% \times (1 - 0.25) = 6\%.

Figure — Understand WACC and discount rate calculation

Deriving WACC from First Principles

THE FUNDAMENTAL QUESTION: If I give this company $1, what return must it generate to satisfy both debt-holders AND equity-holders?

Step 1: Understanding Capital Structure Weights

A company's total value comes from two sources:

V=E+DV = E + D

If you invest the company, you're implicitly buying a portfolio of its debt and equity. The fraction of each determines your expected return:

Expected return=(weight of equity)×(equity return)+(weight of debt)×(debt return)\text{Expected return} = \text{(weight of equity)} \times \text{(equity return)} + \text{(weight of debt)} \times \text{(debt return)}

rportfolio=EE+Dre+DE+Drdr_{\text{portfolio}} = \frac{E}{E+D} \cdot r_e + \frac{D}{E+D} \cdot r_d

Step 2: The Tax Shield on Debt

WHY do we adjust debt cost by (1Tc)(1 - T_c)?

When a company pays interest, it reduces taxable income. This is called the tax shield.

  • Interest payment: I=rdDI = r_d \cdot D
  • Tax saved: TcI=TcrdDT_c \cdot I = T_c \cdot r_d \cdot D
  • Net cost: Itax saved=rdDTcrdD=(1Tc)I - \text{tax saved} = r_d \cdot D - T_c \cdot r_d \cdot D = \cdot (1 - T_c)

The effective cost per dollar of debt is:

After-tax cost of debt=rd(1Tc)\text{After-tax cost of debt} = r_d \cdot (1 - T_c)

Equity has NO tax benefit—dividends aren't tax-deductible.

Step 3: Final WACC Formula

Combining both:

Calculating Each Component

1. Cost of Equity (rer_e)

THE PROBLEM: Equity has no explicit "interest rate" like debt. We must infer what return shareholders expect.

Method: Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

WHY this formula?

Investors split required return into two parts:

  1. Time value of money (rfr_f): Compensation for waiting (even risk-free bonds pay this).
  2. Risk premium (β(rmrf)\beta \cdot (r_m - r_f)): Extra return for bearing market risk.

Beta measures systematic risk:

  • β=1\beta = 1: Stock moves with market (average risk).
  • β>1\beta > 1: Stock is MORE volatile than market (tech stocks, β1.3\beta \approx 1.3).
  • β<1\beta < 1: Stock is LESS volatile (utilities, β0.7\beta \approx 0.7).

HOW to find Beta? Regression of stock returns against market returns over2-5 years. Sources: Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, company investor relations.

2. Cost of Debt (rdr_d)

THE QUESTION: What interest rate does the company pay TODAY?

Method 1: Yield to Maturity (YTM) on Existing Bonds

If the company has traded bonds, the YTM reflects the market's current assessment of credit risk.

Bond Price=t=1nC(1+rd)t+F(1+rd)n\text{Bond Price} = \sum_{t=1}^{n} \frac{C}{(1 + r_d)^t} + \frac{F}{(1 + r_d)^n}

Solve for rdr_d (the YTM). Financial calculators or Excel RATE() function handle this.

Method 2: Interest Rate on Recent Loans

Check the latest debt isuance or credit facility. Average if multiple debt instruments exist.

3. Market Values (EE and DD)

CRITICAL: Use market values, NOT book values from the balance sheet.

  • Equity: E=Shares outstanding×Current stock priceE = \text{Shares outstanding} \times \text{Current stock price}
  • Debt: For traded bonds, use market price. For bank loans, book value ≈ market value (if recent).

WHY market values? Investors care about current market rates, not historical accounting costs.

Complete WACC Example

Using WACC as a Discount Rate

###ounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Enterprise Value=t=1nFCFt(1+WACC)t\text{Enterprise Value} = \sum_{t=1}^{n} \frac{\text{FCF}_t}{(1 + \text{WACC})^t}

where FCFt\text{FCF}_t Free Cash Flow in year tt (cash available to ALL investors).

WHY WACC here? FCF belongs to both debt and equity holders, so we discount at the BLENDED cost.

Net Present Value (NPV) of Projects

NPV=t=0nCash Flowt(1+WACC)t\text{NPV} = \sum_{t=0}^{n} \frac{\text{Cash Flow}_t}{(1 + \text{WACC})^t}

  • NPV > 0: Project earns MORE than WACC → Accept (creates value).
  • NPV < 0: Project earns LESS than WACC → Reject (destroys value).

Common Mistakes and Confusions

Practical Adjustments

1. Adjusting for Changing Capital Structure

If you're valuing a leveraged buyout (LBO) or recapitalization, debt/equity mix will change. Use the target capital structure, not current weights.

2. Different Discount Rates for Different Divisions

A conglomerate's WACC averages ALL businesses. For project-level NPV, use a division-specific beta (reflecting that unit's risk) to compute a custom WACC.

3. Country Risk Premium (for Emerging Markets)

For non-US companies, add a country risk premium to rfr_f or (rmrf)(r_m - r_f):

re=rf+β[(rmrf)+CRP]r_e = r_f + \beta \cdot [(r_m - r_f) + \text{CRP}]

WHY? Emerging markets have political risk, currency risk, less liquidity. Investors demand extra return.

Connections

  • Cost of Equity and CAPM – Deep dive into beta calculation and alternatives (DDM, APT)
  • Capital Structure and MM Theorem – How debt/equity mix affects firm value (spoiler: WACC minimization under trade-off theory)
  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation – WACC is the denominator in DCF; understand free cash flow numerators
  • Net Present Value (NPV) and IR – WACC as the hurdle rate for capital budgeting
  • Tax Shield and Interest Deductibility – Why debt is cheaper and how tax policy affects optimal leverage
  • Beta Estimation and Unlevering/Relevering – Adjust beta for changing leverage when computing divisional WACCs
  • Enterprise Value vs Equity Value – WACC discounts to EV; subtract net debt to get equity value

Recall Explain WACC to a 12-Year-Old

Imagine you and your friend want to start a lemonade stand. You put in 50ofyourownmoney(equity),andyourmomlendsyou50 of your own money (equity), and your mom lends you 50 (debt) but wants $5 back as interest at the end of the year.

Cost of debt: Your mom wants 10% return (5on5 on 50). But here's the trick—your dad (the "government") says "If you pay interest, I'll give you back 25% of it as tax break." So you only REALLY pay 5×0.75=5 × 0.75 = 3.75. Your debt costs 7.5%. Cost of equity: YOU want to make at least 20% on your 50becauseyouretakingtherisk(ifthestandfails,youloseeverything,butyourmomstillgetsher50 because you're taking the risk (if the stand fails, you lose everything, but your mom still gets her 50back). So equity costs 20%.

WACC: You have 100total(100 total (50 from you, $50 from mom). Half is equity (20% cost), half is debt (7.5% cost). Your "blended cost" is: WACC=0.5×20%+0.5×7.5%=10%+3.75%=13.75%\text{WACC} = 0.5 \times 20\% + 0.5 \times 7.5\% = 10\% + 3.75\% = 13.75\%

MEANING: The lemonade stand must make at least 13.75% profit to keep both you AND your mom happy. If make less, one of you won't get the return you wanted!


Flashcards

#flashcards/stock-market

What is WACC and why is it used? :: WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is the blended cost of a company's debt and equity financing. It represents the minimum return a company must earn on its investments to satisfy all investors. Used as the discount rate in DCF valuation and NPV calculations.

What is the full WACC formula?
WACC=EVre+DVrd(1Tc)\text{WACC} = \frac{E}{V} \cdot r_e + \frac{D}{V} \cdot r_d \cdot (1 - T_c) where E = equity value, D = debt value, V = E + D, rer_e = cost of equity, rdr_d = cost of debt, TcT_c = tax rate.
Why do we multiply cost of debt by (1 - Tc)?
Interest expense is tax-deductible, creating a tax shield. If company pays8% interest and has a 25% tax rate, the government saves them 2% (25% of 8%), so the after-tax cost is only 6%. Equity dividends have no tax benefit.
How do you calculate cost of equity using CAPM?
re=rf+β(rmrf)r_e = r_f + \beta \cdot (r_m - r_f) where rfr_f = risk-free rate, β\beta = stock's beta (systematic risk), rmr_m = expected market return, (rmrf)(r_m - r_f) = equity risk premium.
What does beta measure in WACC calculation?
Beta measures a stock's sensitivity to market movements (systematic risk). β=1\beta = 1 means average risk, β>1\beta > 1 means more volatile than market, β<1\beta < 1 means less volatile. Higher beta → higher cost of equity.
Should you use book values or market values for E and D in WACC?
Always use MARKET values. Book values reflect historical accounting costs, not current investor expectations. Use market cap for equity (shares × price) and market price of bonds for debt.
What is the difference between using WACC vs. cost of equity as discount rate?
Use WACC to discount Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) because it's available to all investors. Use cost of equity (rer_e) only to discount Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE), which is cash after debt payments.
How do you find the cost of debt for WACC?
Use the Yield to Maturity (YTM) on the company's traded bonds, or the interest rate on recent debt isuance. YTM reflects the market's current assessment of the company's credit risk, not the coupon rate.
If a company's WACC is 10%, what does this mean for project selection?
Projects must generate returns above10% to create value. If NPV (discounted at WACC) > 0, accept the project. If NPV < 0, reject it because it earns less than the cost of capital.
What is the equity risk premium in the CAPM formula?
The equity risk premium is (rmrf)(r_m - r_f), the extra return investors demand for bearing stock market risk instead of holding risk-free bonds. Historically ~6-8% in developed markets.
Why does higher debt in capital structure not always lower WACC?
Although debt is cheaper than equity (due to tax shield), excessive debt increases financial risk, raising both the cost of debt (credit spreads widen) and cost of equity (beta increases). There's an optimal debt level that minimizes WACC.
A company has 400Mequity,400M equity, 200M debt, tax rate 30%, rer_e = 14%, rdr_d = 7%. What is WACC?
we=400/600=0.667w_e = 400/600 = 0.667, wd=200/600=0.333w_d = 200/600 = 0.333. WACC = 0.667×14%+0.333×7%×(10.3)=9.34%+1.63%=10.97%0.667 \times 14\% + 0.333 \times 7\% \times (1-0.3) = 9.34\% + 1.63\% = 10.97\%.

Concept Map

requires

split into

split into

demands

demands

weighted by E/V

weighted by D/V

creates

reduces rd by 1-Tc

serves as

used in

sets

Time Value of Money

Discount Rate

Capital Structure

Equity E

Debt D

Cost of Equity re

Cost of Debt rd

WACC

Corporate Tax Tc

Tax Shield

DCF and NPV Valuation

Minimum Required Return

Hinglish (regional understanding)

Intuition Hinglish mein samjho

WACC matlab Weighted Average Cost of Capital hai, yeh ek company ki "blended cost" hai financing ki. Socho agar ek company paisa do jagah se lati hai—ek toh debt (loans, bonds) se aur dosra equity (shareholders) se. Debt sasta hota hai kyunki interest tax-deductible hai (government ko pay karne se pehle interest minus ho jata hai, toh tax kam lagta hai), lekin equity mehenga hai kyunki shareholders zyada risk lete hain, isliye unhe zyada return chahiye.

WACC formula simple hai: tumhe dono costs ko unke weights ke sath multiply karna hai. Agar company 60% equity aur 40% debt se funded hai, toh WACC = (0.6 × equity cost) + (0.4 × debt cost × tax benefit). Iska use kahan hota hai? Jab tum DCF valuation kar rahe ho ya NPV calculate kar rahe ho project decisions ke liye, tab WACC discount rate ban jata hai. Iska matlab yeh minimum return hai jo company ko earn karna padega taki debt-holders aur equity-holders dono khush rahein.

Equity cost nikalne

Test yourself — Valuation Methods

Connections